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It was a winning week last week with the NFL bet, and boy did we get lucky with that Titans/Colts under. Luck is part and parcel of betting, and hasn’t been on our side the first few weeks of the season so it was nice to log that one.
We had Under 43 and at the half there were 34 points scored. Only one TD in the second half amazingly got us the under. And hey I also won a player prop – with ease too! That was nice.
I skipped the MNF game. I often try and write up something even if I’m not betting it to give you my thoughts – apologies for not doing it for that one but honestly I didn’t have a clue.
I wasn’t sure what 49ers offense would show up. Whether it would be the confident one that we saw against the Seahawks, or the disastrous one that we saw against the Broncos. They are going to be hard to bet going forward. If a team doesn’t get the pressure on Jimmy that is great, but he still had so many missed opportunities, and I mean the TD pass was pure Deebo.
Tonight we’ve got the Denver Broncos hosting the Indianapolis Colts.
The Broncos played on Sunday and that was a frustrating one as I had the under in that. After 3 solid weeks, their defense got lit up by the Las Vegas Raiders who scored their first win of the season. And I mean Denver were practically in front of a home crowd there. That was brutal, with Carlson scoring 4 field goals.
The Indianapolis Colts followed up their big win over the Chiefs with a loss to the Titans, as mentioned. Brutal news for them with Jonathan Taylor out this week.
The Broncos are 3 point favourites against the Colts, with the over/under at 42 points. In theory I think this game goes under. Both teams are pretty slow pace wise and not big passers.
Denvers stats overall this season against the pass are great and with Taylor out, I’d expect Ryan to aim to throw a bit more which is a concern.
This defense to me looks like Wilson should light them up. I’ve been impressed with Wilson the last couple of games – he’s starting to really settle in at Denver.
I just think the Colts are going to really struggle here offensively. Their best hope is to do it similar to the Raiders and rely on field goals ha. Sutton is really stepping up, and I like the matchup we should hopefully see of Jeudy vs Moore.
Colts without Leonard too.
This is one of those games where I look at it, and feel it’s Denvers to lose. I’m going with 1u on Broncos -3.
