World Cup Betting Tips: December 2nd, 2022

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What an incredible day in the World Cup.

It’s funny because if you asked me earlier in the day if I cared about Japan or Costa Rica qualifying, I would have said I couldn’t really give a toss.

Then with about 10 minutes left in the Japan vs Spain game I was up on my feet, screaming and going nuts. Suddenly, Japan getting eliminated was the worst thing in the world and would send me into depression.

Man I love sports.

Another top team goalscorer bet came in, as Alphonso Davies at 7.00 was Canada’s top goalscorer! Hopefully a couple more come in and that can be a profit.

A 1-1 day betting wise. Croatia Draw No Bet was fine – Croatia had some awesome chances, but the draw was probably the fair result. They really should have brought Antonio Čolak into the squad. Granted I am biased but a striker like him they are sorely lacking and he would have finished a couple there.

Won with the over in Morocco vs Canada. That was a nice one as it came in early enough and I could relax betting tips wise, although I actually did a bet of Morocco to win & BTTS at 4.75 as well, so that was a bloody sweat.

I ended up profiting large from that game though. I usually ignore Bet365 bet boosts, but they had one that seemed really tempting. 7.50 odds, Morocco to win, Over 2.5 goals and Ziyech to score anytime. Thought screw it I’ll take that – and boom, came in. That was a delightful game.

Lost with Germany to win. Tis fine. I couldn’t really see many betting options in that one to be honest. Costa Rica hadn’t really shown anything to warrant me considering them scoring – although I guess BTTS in hindsight might have made sense as a gamble. Torres bet was a void as he didn’t start.

Now we’ve got the final group games then we’re down to two games per day. I’m cool with that – covering 4 games each day is a lot of work.

Group G Betting Tips:

Brazil are top, and ahve qualified. That makes things a slight concern in regard to player rotation, which we saw with France.

Switzerland are in that “win or draw” spot most likely, although they can’t take anything for granted considering how today went, as Cameroon could pull off an upset. Both Cameroon and Serbia have to win.

Cameroon have shown their goalscoring ability, and they just have to go for it in this game. The Brazil defense really hasn’t been tested too much yet. We know how Brazil play – very, very patient as they just feel they are inevitable. And all it takes is one mistake.

Brazil look very organized and they pressed either high or at the mid block. The Swiss had 45% possession but didn’t really do much with it although that was their own problems due to being very cautious.

I’m hoping Brazil make some rotations, and Cameroon say screw it and go for it. So I think there is a good chance of goals. It could be that doesn’t happen at all, but if it does I intend to take full advantage of it. Rather than a single bet, I’m going with 1u on over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 2.37 odds. I feel if we get the game I’m hoping for, then might as well go for a higher risk/reward scenario. Cameroon had a 2.2 xG against Serbia and I fancy them to get a goal here. Depending on the Brazil lineup, I may go for 2u personally.

In the other game – hopefully for entertainment purposes, Serbia open the game up and get some goals to make it exciting. Bookies have this one as almost a coinflip. I’m tempted by the cards market but the bookies have over 4.5 at 1.66 odds which isn’t enough for me, and over 5 is a risk.

I feel like Switzerland will go with the defensive game we’ve seen from them, and it’s a question of whether Serbia can break the deadlock or not. One thing to ponder is they will likely go on the defensive, and if that’s the case then can the Swiss actually score against them?

I’m liking 1u on Under 2.5 goals here at 1.80 as there are just too many questions about both teams scoring.

Group H Betting Tips:

Similar to the above. Portugal have qualified already. Ghana need at least a draw. South Korea and Uruguay both need to win with Ghana losing.

Portugal we have no idea their lineup, but I expect there will be some rotation for sure especially as they have struggled with a couple of injuries already. I’m just going to go with a nice and simple 1u on Joao Felix to score anytime at 3.75 – void if he doesn’t start. I feel whether it’s from a build-up play or a counter attack, Felix is a good option to get a goal.

The Ghana vs Uruguay game is very interesting. Uruguay have just looked absolute dog shit and much like Belgium, deserve to go out.

Ghana will have a compact defense again which will frustrate Uruguay who can’t seem to unlock teams at all.

If I was betting a team to win, based on the results so far, I’d probably go with Ghana to be honest. At 5.00 odds that is a very good +EV price. I’ll likely throw 1u on Ghana or Draw as they’ve shown they can score and Uruguay haven’t.

However these teams have a strong history from the 2010 World Cup. 12 years ago and it’s still fresh in everyones minds. Not just that Suarez handball but the chip to win it for Uruguay. Lot of bad blood here.

So for my own enjoyment, I’m going to focus on the cards market for this one. I’m going with 1u on Over 4.5 cards at 1.83, and also 0.5u on a red card at 3.75.

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