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MLB betting tips for August 15th, 2023.
3-0 last night on Patreon.
W Braves -0.5 First 5 Innings
W Cardinals Over 4.5 Runs
W Rangers Over 4.5 Runs
I love a good team total. I love an undefeated night. Let’s keep it going.
Five bets tonight on Patreon, three are available below.
Today’s games:
- New York Yankees at Atlanta Braves
- Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers
- Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals
- Baltimore Orioles at San Diego Padres
- Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers
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New York Yankees at Atlanta Braves Betting Tips:
NYY – Luis Severino
ATL – Bryce Elder
Oh, how the mighty have fallen. The Yankees are pretty much out of it and there isn’t a whole lot to be excited about outside of Judge.
Severino has really struggled of late with a 8.53 ERA/7.01 FIP and now he gets to face this offense. The Braves have hit more home runs than anyone, have a 122 wRC+ against righties, and a 155 wRC+ over the past two weeks. They are killing it.
Bryce Elder is the only thing stopping me from going F5 here as he’s struggled of late. I think he can bounce back as his projections and season long stats are much better, but there’s no need to risk it. The Braves offense doesn’t stop and the Braves bullpen has been excellent of late.
Braves -1.5 (-117)
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Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers Betting Tips:
LAA – Lucas Giolito
TEX – Jordan Montgomery
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Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals Betting Tips:
SEA – Emerson Hancock
KCR – Jordan Lyles
Crazy game here last night that went from a near no-hitter to a 7-6 walkoff win. That’s three straight losses for Seattle, all really close, and they need to get back on track here. Jordan Lyles should provide that opportunity. He has a 5.16 ERA/4.45 FIP over his last five starts with low strikeouts. The Mariners should absolutely be able to hit him. The KC bullpen has a 6.70 ERA/6.45 FIP over the last two weeks.
Emerson Hancock looked good in his MLB debut and the Royals offense is below average against righties. The Royals offense has been playing very well of late, but so has the Mariners bullpen.
Mariners Moneyline (-136)
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Baltimore Orioles at San Diego Padres Betting Tips:
BAL – Jack Flaherty
SDP – Michael Wacha
Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips:
MIL – Adrian Houser
LAD – Bobby Miller
Dodgers look like a great here going against this Brewers team. Miller has been putting up really strong numbers of late with a 2.84 ERA/3.35 FIP over his last five starts. The Brewers are a below average offense with an 88 wRC+ against righties.
Houser is nothing special, but the Dodgers offense is. They have a 116 wRC+ against righties and a 139 wRC+ over the past two weeks.
Dodgers -0.5 First 5 Innings (-140)
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