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The “Group of Death” has been quite the interesting group. The strict German machine have did what was expected of them with two close wins, and are looking like the type of solid team that can take down the whole tournament.
Denmark on the other side – wow. A surprise and rather lucky victory over Holland, then a plucky performance against Portugal and an undeserved loss.
Hilariously(well, maybe not for Danes), Denmark can lose this game and still qualify from the group. Yet they could also win the game and not qualify! That is quite the bizarre situation.
As you can imagine, the bookies are leaning towards Germany on this one. Let’s look at the Denmark vs Germany match betting odds:
Denmark: 9/2
Draw: 12/5
Germany: 8/11
Right away, I see value on Germany. Germany are miles ahead of Denmark in terms of quality and mentality. Denmark looked flustered against Portugal, and were extremely lucky against Holland(seriously, Van Persie and Robben should’ve made it 4-1). In a “must-win” game for Denmark, they’re going to come up against the sturdy German machine and it isn’t going to be pretty.
I see solid value in betting Germany 8/11 in this game to beat Denmark, and that’s my main Germany vs Denmark betting tip.
I also like the UNDERS for the corners market in this game, as my second Germany vs Denmark betting tip. Germany will force this to be a tight game, and won’t be rushing up the flanks. Neither team have forced a lot of corners in their games either. Denmark just 4 corners then 7 corners in the Portugal game, and Germany gained just 2 in their first match, and 5 in their second match.
The corner count on this one is 11. You can get Under 11 at 5/6 which is a nice price. The reason it’s 11 is both teams have given UP a lot of corners, but that’s dependent on who they were playing. Against each other, they should cancel each other out.
Denmark are also 7/4 for the Race to 3 Corners which is a nice price. Germany give up a lot of corners(confidence in their ability to clear them) and with Denmark needing a win, they should be trying to force the attack. This one is an +EV bet as the odds should be evens for both.
That’s it for my Germany vs Denmark Betting Picks.
