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Welcome to this weeks golf tips. The PGA Tour returns this week after a little break with the kick off to the 2019/2020 season.
We start with the Greenbrier Classic.
Before we get into that though – it was an excellent week last week at the Porsche European Open.
It’s funny as I almost skipped that one. I’d taken the Tour Championship off and so I was two weeks without any golf betting action. I woke up Wednesday motivated to look into it all, and well it delivered!
Here’s the betting slips:
Always nice that. I had a lot of fun picking Paul Casey as I enjoy those tournaments that when you look at it, there are 3-4 guys who are predicted to do better than the rest. In this instance, it was Xander, Reed and Casey.
Reed ended up at +1 while Schauffele ended up at +2. So it was a very nice feeling picking the right one out of the three there.
This week the PGA Tour returns with the Greenbrier Classic. I’m not covering the KLM Open this week as I can’t figure out the metrics for the new course so we’ll focus on this one.
As a reminder I do bets in the following increments: 1/8, 1/4, 1/2, 1. This is based on confidence with a 1u bet being the most confident but a rarely one. I rarely go above 1/2. I also split the unit size over to win and top 5 often.
I’ve got 1/8u on Jason Korak to win. He’s 16/1 which is an okay price but I still feel it’s actually a bit too short. I’m backing it but not feeling super confident. He did play well here last year and his game is a lot better too right now. Worth a small play.
I’ve got a 1/8 play on Sungjae Im To Win & Top 5. Man I don’t like this one. 20/1 odds just seems way too short. Despite that, he stands out in the metrics for me and I just can’t ignore it. he was 28/1 earlier in the week and that was a fairer play. 25/1 is borderline. Just one of those picks where I’d be mad if it came in and I wasn’t behind it.
I am feeling pretty good about Marc Leishman to win and Top 5. One of those that check a lot of boxes. However he hasn’t played here since the quick revamp and struggled since then. In saying that he’s a real different player then. Just one where it looks good on paper and have to back it. 1/4u play.
I’ve then got two long shot bets. My first is the 80/1 Kramer Hickok to win and Top 5. 1/4u play there. He’s been looking good lately and he might surprise. He is a quality player so well worth getting on him while he is in my opinion quite overpriced.
Final long shot bet is a 1/8u play on Brendan Todd. 100/1 and that is to win and top 5. Mentally he seems a lot better lately and I think he has the quality.
