April 10th, 2021 MLB/NBA Betting Tips

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1-0 in NBA, 3-1 in MLB!

The Hawks and Bulls are not two teams I usually bet on, but I am glad I did last night and not only because it won. Zach LaVine had an all-timer of a first half with 39 points. He, like the team, wore down in the second half, but that was really something to watch. He finished with 50 points while Trae Young of the winning team had 42.

Another fun pick we made was the Padres. Not only did that one win, but Joe Musgroves pitched the first no-hitter in Padres history. Stick with my tips. Not only do you get to win games, you also get to witness history!

The only L we took last night was the over in the Reds/Indians game. It really is a fool’s errand to bet overs when we’re looking at two of the weaker offenses. This is one area where the early version of the system kind of struggles. Without that recent data, it can’t tell that teams are cold. I should be able to roll that out starting next week though.

A lot of early games today. I’m sticking to the night game’s and throwing in another bonus NBA tip for good measure.

Best Odds for MLB:

Type of Bet / Prop:	Where To Bet:
R + H + E	BetOnline
MLB Grand Salami (Total Runs That Day)	Bet365
World Series Futures	SportsBetting.ag
5 Inning Run Lines	BetOnline
1st Inning Moneylines	Bet365
Total Team Runs Over/Under	Bet365

All tips based on the starting pitchers listed. Tips should be considered void if any pitching changes are made unless otherwise noted. Occasionally the “follower” will be listed as we are betting on who will pitch the bulk of the innings.

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips:

Red Sox: Garrett Richards 4.03 ERA/4.28 FIP (2020)
Orioles: Bruce Zimmerman 5.46 ERA/5.48 FIP (Projection)

I am a bit nervous about this pick because Garrett Richards was hit very hard by the Orioles in his first start of the year, but he’s a better pitcher than that and the Red Sox are the better overall team.

Zimmerman’s projections see him as very hittable and the Red Sox are decent against lefties. A nice value here.

Bet Red Sox -137

San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers Betting Tips:

Padres: Chris Paddack 4.73 ERA/5.02 FIP (2020)
Rangers: Jordan Lyles 7.02 ERA/5.95 FIP (2020)

This tip is very similar to yesterday’s Padres pick. The Rangers offense isn’t good, the Padres offense is good, and the Padres have the much better starter.

I wouldn’t expect any no-hitters today, but the Padres should once again get it done here.

Bet Padres -0.5 First 5 Innings (-135)

Best Odds for NBA:

Type of Bet / Prop:	Where To Bet:
NBA Point Spreads	BetOnline
NBA Over/Unders	Bovada
NBA Player Futures	BetOnline
NBA MVP	SportsBetting.ag
NBA Championship Winner	BetOnline

Brooklyn Nets at Los Angeles Lakers Betting Tips:

It doesn’t feel right to type what I am about to type, but I am going under on this game tonight.

The Nets finally got Kevin Durant back, but have now lost James Harden to injury. Harden has been their point guard and their best player over the past few weeks, and I believe the offense will struggle to dominate without him.

While Durant is back, he only played 18 minutes off the bench in his last game and I can’t expect him to suddenly go 40 here. Kyrie Irving is great, but the offense can get clogged when he is running the point. A lot of the Nets success has come from him being more of a shooting guard.

The Nets have actually gone under in seven of their past ten games. While the Lakers have as well. The Lakers have no stars playing once again.

Bet Nets/Lakers Under 222.5

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