April 22nd, 2021 MLB & NBA Betting Tips



[Get Exclusive Tips on our Patreon, Ad-Free
]

We’re back with a couple of NBA tips and a couple of MLB tips.

It is exactly one month away from the NBA Playoffs starting and teams are really vying for position. The play-in tournament is really creating some unique scenarios and things are going to look weird with all the injuries we’ve seen. I think the Nets have to be considered the favorite, but both the Bucks and Sixers pose tough defensive match-ups for them. It’s hard to count out the Lakers if they get LeBron and Davis going, but that is going to be a very tough road to the Finals with so many road series.

One team that is appealing to me from a futures betting perspective is the Suns at +1500. This team has won 16 out of their past 19 games and just keeps getting it done. There is a lot of risk here, of course, but I think I trust them more than the Jazz.

Best Odds for MLB:

Type of Bet / Prop: Where To Bet:
R + H + E BetOnline
MLB Grand Salami (Total Runs That Day) Bet365
World Series Futures SportsBetting.ag
5 Inning Run Lines BetOnline
1st Inning Moneylines Bet365
Total Team Runs Over/Under Bet365

All tips based on the starting pitchers listed. Tips should be considered void if any pitching changes are made unless otherwise noted. Occasionally the “follower” will be listed as we are betting on who will pitch the bulk of the innings.

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox Betting Tips:


Starter FIP- wRC+ Rank L14 Rank Bullpen Rank L14 Rank Park
SEA Justin Dunn 108 96 21 92 17 99 18 100 12
BOS Nick Pivetta 97 104 12 126 1 96 11 68 1 105

This should be a good offensive game with winds blowing out to right near 20mph. Neither of these pitchers projects to be very dominant this season and both of these offenses have had success early.

That’s definitely true of the Red Sox who have a 126 wRC+ on the early season, best in the MLB. They’ve somehow been even better than that against righties.

The Mariners will have last year’s Rookie of the Year, Kyle Lewis, back in the lineup which should improve the offense that has been mostly carried by their top three. They can score.

Bet Mariners/Red Sox Over 9.5

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Betting Tips:


Starter FIP- wRC+ Rank L14 Rank Bullpen Rank L14 Rank Park
LAA Alex Cobb 107 106 10 119 2 98 14 94 6
HOU Cristian Javier 111 110 5 106 9 98 15 118 26 100

This is a big case of what do you believe. Both of these pitchers have had early success. Cobb has a 4.63 ERA/2.06 FIP with a huge 13.11 K/9 rate in his first two starts. While Cristian Javier has a 2.08 ERA/1.59 FIP with a 11.42 K/9 rate.

Something I notice looking at the stats is that Javier has only pitched 8.2 innings. He’s been very good, but he’s not going very deep and the Astros bullpen has been very bad early. The Angels offense has been killing teams early and I think they’ll send Javier packing early.

I have my reservations about Cobb, but that strikeout rate is for real. There is something different about him. For whatever it’s worth, the Astros have struggled against righties this year.

Bet Angels +105

Best Sportsbook To Bet MLB:

  1. Click this link to visit BetOnline.
  2. Register an Account.
  3. All betting odds and props will now be viewable under the event listing.
  4. You can deposit to BetOnline via over 20 different options such as credit card.

Best Odds for NBA:

Type of Bet / Prop: Where To Bet:
NBA Point Spreads BetOnline
NBA Over/Unders Bovada
NBA Player Futures BetOnline
NBA MVP SportsBetting.ag
NBA Championship Winner BetOnline

Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips:

The Sixers will be without Tobias Harris, Ben Simmons, and Seth Curry for this one. The Bucks are a big -8 favorite, but I just don’t trust them with that kind of number right now. They’ve dropped their last two games in a similar way that they’ve lost a lot of games this season, by allowing the other team back into the game and making the adjustments too late.

That said, the Bucks can still put up points and they should probably win here. Milwaukee has scored 120 or more in eight out of the past ten games. Embiid can make this thing competitive enough for the Bucks to get there again.

Bet Bucks Over 116.5

Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips:

This line is lower than it should be because Anthony Davis has announced that he plans to play. Is that going to be enough? I don’t think so. We can’t know how much he’ll play, but you have to expect some rust and a minutes limitation. Plus, LeBron is still out.

The Mavs are on a back-to-back, but both have been home games and I think they’ll have success here. I don’t see a good defensive match-up for Luka Doncic and he should do well tonight.

Bet Mavericks -3

Best Sportsbook To Bet NBA:

  1. Click this link to visit BetOnline.
  2. Register an Account.
  3. All betting odds and props will now be viewable under the event listing.
  4. You can deposit to BetOnline via over 20 different options such as credit card.