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A 2-0 record last night!
How about those Mariners? This offense stayed red hot as they scored six runs against the Angels to help us hit the over on that game. This game was 4-3 in the seventh and I wasn’t feeling too worried about hitting the 8.5. Jay Bruce hit a 2-run homerun in the seventh to send it over and the Mariners bullpen held on.
I was almost going to do the first runline of the season with the Indians over the White Sox yesterday, but changed my mind and simply went with the moneyline. Well, they won by two so maybe I should’ve just went for it. That said, this game was 1-0 Indians heading into the eighth before both teams exploded. You can’t count on Jace Fry to completely blow things when making a play like that.
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees Betting Tips:
Opening Day saw Jordan Zimmerman take a no-hitter deep into the game against the Blue Jays. I’m not buying it that performance to be some kind of transformative experience for him. I still think he’s the same guy I’ve been betting against for the past couple of seasons and he’s the same guy I am betting against here today. He had a 4.52 ERA/4.88 FIP with plenty of homeruns given up. The Yankees hit a lot of homeruns, this isn’t rocket science.
Masahiro Tanaka pitches for the Yankees and he’s had a nice start to the season from a scheduling standpoint. First, the Orioles and now the Tigers. The line on this one is big, but it’s got a pretty decent money line. My system sees the Yankees easily winning by 2+ runs here so we’re going with our first runline of the season.
Bet Yankees -1.5 (-115)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Betting Tips:
The Diamondbacks are a perfect 5-0 on overs this season and I think they might go six here.
I’m a big Zack Greinke fan, but those four homeruns on Opening Day should be cause for some slight alarm. He’s not getting any younger and he relies on his craftiness far more than his stuff at this point in his career. I still believe he’s a good pitcher, but I just don’t see him putting up a long, dominant performance here. I think he gets dinged for a couple of runs and we see the bullpen earlier than later.
I went over on an Eric Lauer start earlier this year and that didn’t go so well for us, but I like it again here. He only managed three strikeouts over six innings in that start and all of the runners he allowed were left on base. He needs to miss more bats if he want to be successful and I just think he’s still the same guy that posted a 4.34 ERA/4.51 FIP last year.
This total is set crazy low at just seven runs and I think they can easily hit that. I can see both starters giving up three here and leaving early.
Bet Padres/Diamondbacks Over 7 Runs
