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A 1-1 record last night.
The Rays bats came out huge in their game against the Red Sox and this one saw a total of 25 runs scored. The good news is that 17 of those came from the Rays so we won this one easily. Kyle Hart had a rude introduction to the majors with five runs over two inning. Glasnow had a rough day as he allowed five runs in four innings, but it really didn’t matter.
We took the loss with the Phillies against the Orioles. We knew some weird things would happen in this small sample size season and the Orioles are definitely a weird thing that is happening. Their bats stomped all over the Phils pitching and they won this one handily. The Orioles are now 10-7 and in line for a playoff appearance. Not even an expanded playoffs appearance either as they have the fifth best record in the AL. The most impressive part is they’ve done this with one of the hardest schedules on all of baseball thus far.
We’re back to a full schedule tonight. Well, except for the Cardinals because, well, you know. They are expected to resume play Saturday with a doubleheader against the White Sox.
I am writing these types very early so keep an eye out for any pitching changes.
Best Odds for MLB:
| Type of Bet / Prop: | Where To Bet: |
|---|---|
| R + H + E | BetOnline |
| MLB Grand Salami (Total Runs That Day) | Bovada |
| World Series Futures | SportsBetting.ag |
| 5 Inning Run Lines | BetOnline |
| 1st Inning Moneylines | Bovada |
| Total Team Runs Over/Under | Bovada |
All tips based on the starting pitchers listed. Tips should be considered void if any pitching changes are made unless otherwise noted.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Betting Tips:
Braves: Kyle Wright 7.41 ERA/6.50 FIP (Career)
Marlins: Pablo Lopez 5.09 ERA/4.28 FIP (2019)
I can’t believe how good the Marlins have been playing and I can’t believe we are going to pick them here, but I have to trust the system and the system loves the Marlins here.
The key here is the starting pitching. The system likes Pablo Lopez and hates Kyle Wright. The Wright stuff is easy to understand. He walks a ton and has been hit hard in his three appearances this season. The average exit velocity on his hit balls is 88.2 this season. That’s high.
I looked into Lopez and I like what I am seeing. He has a high groundball rate and the exit velocity on his hits this year is on 84.1 MPH. That is in the top tier of starters this season. If Lopez can have a solid outing, the Marlins should be able to continue their surprising play.
Oakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants Betting Tips:
Athletics: Frankie Montas 2.63 ERA/3.00 (2019)
Giants: Johnny Cueto 5.40 ERA/5.47 FIP (2020)
The Athletics have been awesome this season, but I don’t think we have tipped them here yet. It’s time to make up for it with this match-up that I am very excited about.
Cueto has been a pitcher that I am extremely down on and he’s done nothing to dispel that notion thus far this season. His strikeouts are way down, he’s walking over four per nine, and he’s been giving up the long ball. He’s exactly the guy you don’t want against a solid offense like this.
Frankie Montas was awesome last season and he has been awesome this season, winning the player of the week last week. He has a 1.57 ERA/2.46 FIP in 2020 and this Giants offense does not scare me whatsoever. Plus, this game is in San Francisco which is a notorious pitcher’s park. The Athletics look like the best bet of the day.
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