BDO 2012 World Championship Day Five Tips



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Day Five of the BDO 2012 World Championship sees Martin Adams in the quarter-finals, along with Tony O’Shea, Wesley Harms and Paul Jennings. Tonight we will see the last four quarter-finalists confirmed, with last year’s runner-up Dean Winstanley taking to the stage in the final match of the night.

Before that we have Ted Hankey facing Scott Waites, as well as a fair few Europeans gracing the Lakeside stage. So, let’s get onto the matches.

Martin Atkins versus Willy van de Wiel.

An interesting match here, with Martin Atkins, a surprise winner over John Walton, taking on Willy van de Wiel, who knocked out Dave Prins very comfortably in the first round.

Van de Wiel didn’t exactly put in a great performance, but he won 3-0, which is very flattering. Martin Atkins was far more impressive, putting in a average of 87.42, defeating an opponent that pushed him all the way.

I’ve never been impressed by Van de Wiel, while Atkins is always solid when I’ve watched him. I think Atkins is a solid proposition tonight, and I really like his price, as his first round performance was far more impressive than that of his opponent. Atkins’ experience should see him through and see him through with a bit of a cushion.

Martin Atkins -1.5 sets to beat Willy van de Wiel: 13/8 @ Paddy Power.

Recommend: 4 units.

Scott Waites versus Ted Hankey.

Two of the biggest names in the BDO square off with each other, both with decent displays in the first round. Waites averaged 89.52, while Hankey put in an 88.08. So, not much between them. However, the big difference has been the year both men have had. Waites has had a fantastic year, while Hankey hasn’t been performing anywhere near his best.

Waites looks a good thing here, but what looks good to me is the number of maximums in the match. Hankey managed 3 in the first round, while Waites only fired in 1. The line is 9.5, which looks high to me, especially with Waites playing, who loves hitting a 140, not so much the maximums.

Under 9.5 180s in the Scott Waites versus Ted Hankey match: 11/10 @ 888.com.

Recommend: 2.5 units.

Christian Kist versus Geert de Vos.

Two of the first round’s shock winner meet next, and the bookies really like Kist here. I can’t blame them, as he put in an average of 97.77 and knocked out the No.6 seed Jan Dekker in a fantastic match. De Vos did enough to knock out Tony West, but his average was aroudn 13 points short of Kist’s.

I like Kist here, as he looked unbelievably confident in the first round, while De Vos looked distinctly average. However, we might just get a few sets here, so the total number of sets is what we’re looking at here, as I think De Vos could sneak a couple of sets before Kist takes charge. The line is 5.5, I think we could get 6 without too much of a worry.

Total number of sets in Kist versus De Vos match over 5.5: 5/6 @ 888.com.

Recommend: 2 units.

Dean Winstanley versus Alan Norris.

A huge match to end the night, with last year’s runner-up, Dean Winstanley, taking on Alan “Chuck” Norris. Both men looked good in the first round, with Norris actually putting in the better average of 91.95. Winstanley’s average of 88.74 wan’t too bad either, to be fair.

I think Winstanley should come through, as he is a class act. But he’s no value, and I think the value lies in the 180s market. Both men fired in a fair amount in the first round, and if this goes 6 sets or more, as I think it should, we could see a lot of maximums. Norris his 8 maximums, while Winstanley hit 5. It looks good for a lot of 180s here.

Total 180s in Dean Winstanley versus Alan Norris match over 9.5: 10/11 @ 888.com.

Recommend: 2.5 units.

That’s the last of the second round matches of the BDO 2012 World Championship. Remember to return for more tips tomorrow.