Follow @SBTSportBetting [Get Exclusive Tips on our Patreon, Ad-Free]
Hey everyone,
Graeme here and welcome to the beginning of my Euro 2024 coverage. I will be covering every single game on here, something I have been doing for the big tournaments since Euro 2012.
I like to start it off by doing team top goalscorer picks. Basically, I go through each nation playing and predict who I think will be top goalscorer for them throughout their time in the Euros.
The primary reasons for this are:
1: It’s a really fun futures bet which doesn’t factor in results and has longevity to it.
2: It gives me a bit of a different perspective in regard to how I look at the games. It opens up that tactical viewpoint a lot more.
Honestly, I do these primarily for fun. There’s so much variance etc to these – but it’s a great way for me to refresh my memory of every nation etc.
I’ll just do a big list in one post, sorted by country alphabetically. Write-ups for each won’t be too long, I promise. Oh and I’m Scottish but there’s no bias I promise – not like I think we’ll win the World Cup or anything. But we’ll at least make the final.
Albania: Jasir Asani @ 15/2
Going to be a fun time for Albania, that’s for sure. Not exactly a nation known for goals and they were spread all over the place in qualifying. He’s inconsistent, but Sylvinho loves Asani, and I expect we’ll see them defend deep, using a 5-3-2 and Asani stepping up more often than not there. “No Goalscorer” isn’t a bad option here either but to be honest that’s such a brutal sweat – hoping for 270 minutes of zero goals.
Austria:Christoph Baumgartner @ 6/1 This team is coming in with some optimism. Love what Ralf has did to this team. They are fun to watch. I think teams will have issues with Baumgartner and his positioning and movement. That’s why I am backing him here.
Belgium: Romelo Lukaku @ 8/11
Has to be him.
Croatia: Andrej Kramaric @ 11/4
Croatia can be a bit tricky because Budimir is the only real striker and the others are more hybrids. Majer is a decent little long shot bet at 8/1 but I’m not sure how often he’ll play, or where he’ll be in the lineup so sticking with their first choice striker.
Czech Republic:Patrik Shick @ 7/4
His scoring rate per shots on target is just superb. I could also see Soucek being up there. It’s tough as we don’t really know what to expect from Hasek. Schik is generally reliable enough..
Denmark: Rasmus Højlund @ 11/10
He is their reliable goalscorer. He’s a natural scorer and an easy one for me to back.
England: Harry Kane 4/7
The odds are crap, and there are no guarantees, but I’m fine not overthinking this one.
France: Kylian Mbappe 4/9
France are probably my pick to win the Euros. And yeah the price sucks so feel free to pass on it. But no point being clever – it’s all about Mbappe.
I’ll personally be doing both Kane & Mbappe as a double at 1.26/1.
Germany: Niclas Fullkrug @ 5/1
The hosts, and favourites to win their group. Havertz is the favourite for top scorer at 2/1. Only friendly info makes them trickier to figure out obviously. We’ve seen a few different formations from Nagelsmann but I expect they line up with a 4-2-3-1. Three contenders for me are Havertz, Fullkrug and Musiala. With teams likely playing very defensively against Germany, I’m going to go with the very reliable Fullkurg. I expect he won’t start and they go with Havertz instead, so bear that in mind. But I expect we see a fair bit of Fullkrug.
Georgia: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia @ 2/1
Kvaratskhelia essentially gets a free role and is so dangerous. It’s very tough as Mikautadze could easily snatch them up if Kvaratskhelia gets all the focus from defense. Then for a long shot you also hae Chakvetadze as the way they play, he also seems to get that free role to move into the channels. I honestly don’t hate bets on all 3 of them. Part of me is worried Kvaratskhelia plays deeper here which we’ve seen in the past.
Hungary: Dominik Szoboszlai @ 9/4
Won their group in solid fashion. Goals spread out with Szoboszlai and Varga both the top scorers. Bookies have Szboszlai as the favourite at 9/4 with Varga at 7/2. It really is tough to pick between the two. I’m going with Szoboszlai because of his ability to work magic out of nothing, In theory he should be setting up Varga more but I think we’ll see him carve out the key chances for himself.
See the rest of these on Patreon
