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Welcome to the free sports betting tips for Wednesday, March 13th as we cover the Players Championship.
Sorry for posting these late tonight. I struggled to really focus with the golf analysis this week. Not sure what the deal with that was – just one of those weeks where I can’t really get in the zone when I am crunching the numbers.
If you followed last weeks tips – boy was that a tough end. We had the 100/1 pick of Matt Wallace who looked like a contender to win or at the very least get a top 5 place. That would have been 20/1 odds and very nice.
He unfortunately hit a bogey on the last two holes to finish up 6th. One stroke off that 20/1 cash. Absolutely brutal that one.
But that’s golf for you. Sadly that’s the fourth time this year that’s happened to me so here’s hoping the variance picks up on the flip side. Actually I guess it did the other week with Aaron Baddeley in the Puerto Rico open so hey I can’t complain.
This week we’re covering the Players Championship. This is a very tricky tournament due to the changes this year by moving it from May to March. The overseeding will make things interesting and I think we’ll get a surprise winner.
I’m doing all casual bets to win and top 5. Nothing huge this week.
First one I am backing is Jordan Spieth. Sorry I know he is pretty much trash at the moment, but if I’m offered 60/1 odds on someone like Spieth, I’m going to take them. I have my concerns about his mental game as well as his golf game but 60/1 odds is something I’ll blindly back.
Speaking of blindly backing, I’m going with Lucas Glover. I don’t understand why the sportsbooks still price him so low. I can only assume he isn’t getting much action but at 66/1, I’m all over that. He was 60/1 when he got us that top 5 cash just a couple of weeks ago and now he’s lower? Yeah I’m all over that.
I’m also on Rafael Cabrera-Bello who is in solid form and performed well here and should be able to handle the overseeding. Just feels like the sportsbooks either know something we don’t in terms of his odds, or are completely overlooking him. Either way I’m down.
I’m also on Hideki Matsuyama who matches up well for this course and the overseeding may help him.
For the record, Vin likes Brooks Koepka. He feels that with him missing the cut last week it’ll be a benefit as he will be nice and rested.
The European Tour has the Kenya Open. Not much data on this course but I do know it’s used for the Challenge Tour so I was able to look up some metrics. Based on what I saw, two small bets just like the above to win and top 5 on Ross McGowan and Sabastian Sodeborg.
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