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NBA betting tips for January 10th, 2024.
2-0 last night on Patreon.
W Wolves -5
W Grizzlies/Mavericks Under 235
Minnesota with the easy blowout win. Then it wasn’t the result I was expecting in Grizzlies/Mavericks, but the scoring was kept low enough for the win.
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Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics Betting Tips:
This is a game I wouldn’t normally touch, but this line is so high I am finding it hard to ignore.
The Wolves are on the second half of a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. That is typically an instant ignore for me, but two things are pushing me towards ignoring that rule.
The first is that the Magic blew out the Magic last night. Anthony Edwards only played 25 minutes which should mean his legs will be relatively fresh tonight.
The second thing and this is the big one, is that Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, and Kristaps Porzingis are all listed as questionable tonight. Those athletic big men are what would really give the Wolves trouble but without them – I think they might be too small.
This is only the third time the Wolves have played a back-to-back this season and they are 1-1 in those games. If they were ever going to get up for one, this would be it.
Boston is ‘only’ 7-5-1 ATS when playing with a rest advantage. I think Boston can still win but -9 is a lot to ask against the top team in the West at full strength.
Wolves +9
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New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors Betting Tips:
Draymond Green will play tonight which just might be the spark the Warriors need, but I’ll believe it when I see it.
Chris Paul is out, Gary Payton is out, and this team just has a lot of questions. Wiggins has stunk all year and he can’t share the floor with Kuminga which seems like a problem when you can’t play two of your top-five players together.
The Pelicans are hot right now. They have won five of their last six games. Not only are they winning, they are dominating with a 14.5 Net Rating during that stretch. When they are on, they are one of the best teams in the West, and they are on right now.
These teams played one game this season, a 130-102 win by the Pelicans. It might not be that level again but it wouldn’t surprise me if it is.
Pelicans -2
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Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz Betting Tips:
Both of these teams are 8-2 over their last ten games with really impressive offensive performances. This should be a fun one.
The Nuggets are a bit more for real, but the Jazz are truly healthy for the first time all season and really showing what they can do. I think tonight will be close.
The Jazz have played extremely well of late against some tough teams and they are great at home. On the season the Jazz have a 12-4 record against the spread at home. The Nuggets are 6-10 ATS as a road favorite.
Jazz +6.5
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