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MLB tips for July 25th, 2022.
2-0 yesterday brings us to 204-174.
Five tips for tonight on Patreon, three are below.
Overall it was a great weekend on Patreon with a winning MLB record, a 22/1 win in golf, and a 14/1 win in F1.
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Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips:
ATL – Max Fried 2.64 ERA/2.58 FIP
PHI – Ranger Suarez 4.07 ERA/4.12 FIP
Fried has been on fire of last with a 2.27 ERA/2.24 FIP over his past five starts. He gets a great match-up here against an ice-cold Phillies team. They have just a 75 wRC+ over the past two weeks.
The Braves crush lefties for a 119 wRC+ and I think Suarez is hittable.
Braves First 5 Innings Moneyline (-120)
Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips:
COL – Kyle Freeland 4.96 ERA/4.51 FIP
MIL – Aaron Ashby 4.57 ERA/3.94 FIP
San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips:
SFG – Jakob Junis 3.06 ERA/3.93 FIP
ARI – Tyler Gilbert 5.34 ERA/5.93 FIP
The Giants offense crushes lefties and Gilbert is not scaring me off. He is low strikeouts and has a big homerun rate right now. The bullpen behind him is nothing to be afraid of either.
Junis has been solid this season and the match-up is nice as the Diamondbacks have a 92 wRC+ against righties on the year. The Giants bullpen gives me a little bit of pause as they’ve struggled of late, but a lot of that L14 trouble came against the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks are not the Dodgers.
Giants Moneyline (-128)
Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips:
WSN – Paolo Espino 3.57 ERA/4.46 FIP
LAD – Tony Gonsolin 2.02 ERA/3.41 FIP
Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners Betting Tips:
TEX – Glenn Otto 5.40 ERA/5.28 FIP
SEA – Chris Flexen 3.79 ERA/4.40 FIP
The Mariners entered the break on fire with 14 straight wins, but came out of it and got swept by the Astros. This series should get them back on track though. They are a strong offense against righties and Otto is hittable. The Rangers bullpen has really struggled of late with a 136 FIP- over the past two weeks.
Flexen has been a big part of the turnaround for this team as he has a 2.01 ERA/3.58 FIP over his past four starts. He’ll get a boost at home here and the Rangers are below average against righties. Over the past thirty days, the Mariners bullpen is the best in baseball.
Mariners Moneyline (-136)
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