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After doing the Champions League Qualifier tips for July 8th – which honestly feels a bit like probing in the dark – it got me right in the mood to do some stat based picks.
Alas it is really slim pickings this week in terms of that. Very few games going on in domestic leagues and the ones that are going on the odds aren’t up yet for some of them, or there just isn’t that much data.
However I’ve looked through what there is and here is what I’ve got:
Odd BK vs Stabaek Betting Tips:
This game takes place in the Norway Eliteserien. It features Odd BK who are third in the league taking on Stabaek who are 4th bottom.
It’s an interesting game purely due to both teams run of form the last few games. While Odd BK would normally be expected to thump them, they come into this one having one just once in their last 4 games including receiving two thumpings away.
Stabaek meanwhile come into this on the back of 2 wins and a draw and what’s impressive about that is they have managed to pull together three clean sheets in that time as well.
One bizarre stat about this game is that despite their league position, Staebaek hold the joint best defensive record in the league….joint with Odd BK!
Their issue has been goalscoring as they boast just 9 goals in 12 games.
I see this being a tight one. Odd have a good goalscoring record at home however are having this weak run of form and will just look to grind it out. Stabaek have that excellent defensive record and it seems like it’ll be a 0-0, 1-0 or 2-0 type of game.
(Odds on this page are correct as of 2019/07/08 6:59:20 AM EST but are subject to change)
Criciuma vs Coritiba Betting Tips:
This one is in the Brazilian Serie B. It actually kicks off on July 9th at night in Canadian time.
8 games have been played so far for both teams in this league with just 3 points separating them. Coritiba are on 12 points and Criciuma are on 9.
Not too much stands out about the data except the goalscoring ability of Coritiba at this time. They’re quite simply better at goalscoring although not by a ton. They’re also generally better scoring at home than away – not a surprise there.
Criciuma however have a better goalscoring record away than at home.
Both teams come into this one on the back of some very mixed form. Both in their last 5 games have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
I feel there is value on Coritiba here. They’re 2.90 to win and from what I have seen so far they are the slightly better team. The draw is a strong option but I think Corritiba have what it takes here. I’m flip flopping between that and the draw but will go with a small play on them to win. Their away form cost them last season in Serie B (2nd best home form, 4th worst away form) and I think that’s going to be a factor this season – they’re going to want to focus more on those away games. Looking at the metrics thus far they do seem to play a bit more aggressive away which could be a good sign.
(Odds on this page are correct as of 2019/07/08 6:59:20 AM EST but are subject to change)
