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4-1 last night on Patreon.
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How it went down:
W Nikola Jokic Over 23.5 Points
W Nic Claxton Over 23.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
W Jalen Williams Over 24.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
L Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 51.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
W Paolo Banchero Over 28.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
A nice bounce-back last night with a couple of half-point plays going our way. The only letdown was Giannis who picked up three early fouls and had his minutes severely limited because of it.
Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets Betting Tips:
A crazy high number for Embiid here, but he’s gone over it in five of his last seven games and scored 30+ in all of them. This is the system’s second-best play of the day.
He already has a 53-point game against this team this season. Embiid should put up big numbers here as I think of all the three contenders for MVP, he is the one that wants to win it the most since he never has.
I’m not going to be this one as it falls just outside of my cutoff, but Kelly Oubre Jr. looks like a good value at over 21.5.
Joel Embiid Over 34.5 Points
Golden State Warriors at Atlanta Hawks Betting Tips:
This should be very high scoring and Trae Young has historically shown out against the Warriors. In his last two games against them, he has topped 30 points and 14 assists in each.
He has been playing very well of late with an average of 31.4 points, 9.2 assists, and 3.2 rebounds in his last five games, including four games of 28+ points.
Another borderline play that falls just outside of the cutoff is Stephen Curry at over 29.5 points. I won’t be betting, but it’s worth noting his scoring in the last three games against the Hawks: 30, 37, and 50.
Trae Young Over 41.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
Bet Horse Racing - +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.
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Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Tips:
I always hesitate with these Wizards because you never know who is going to be the lead dog from night to night, but this looks like a good spot to grab KP with Jarrett Allen out of the lineup.
Porzingis has two straight games going under this total, but prior to that, he scored 22 or more in seven straight. It seems like tonight might be his turn once again.
Kristaps Porzingis Over 20.5 Points
New Orleans Pelicans at Houston Rockets Betting Tips:
A name we’re not used to seeing here, but a potentially great value tonight. He’s played 36 or more minutes in four straight games which has led to him putting up a 23/9/2 line. I always love when a guy can do this bet in points alone. I especially love it when they are a double-double threat like Smith.
Jabari Smith Jr. Over 23.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
Bet Horse Racing - +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.
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Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs Betting Tips:
Another new name, but one I like a lot. When he’s on the floor, he is one of the lead dogs of this offense. The total here is set high at 234.5 so we should see plenty of opportunity on both ends.
Sochan has averaged 17.0 points, 7.6 rebounds and 2.9 assists over his last nine games. He’s hit the over on this total in six of those games.
This is actually the system’s favorite play of the day as they see his total falling closer to 30 than 25.
Jeremy Sochan Over 24.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
Anyone covering march madness this year, from what I remember one of you did a great job last year. Thanks for all your work.
Skipping the first two rounds, but might check in starting with the Sweet Sixteen.