Follow @SBTSportBetting [Get Exclusive Tips on our Patreon, Ad-Free]
A 1-1 day in the Champions League yesterday but with a profit.
We bet 2u on Porto vs Roma going over 2.5 goals and we didn’t have to wait too long for that to happen. 7 minutes into the second half and Porto were up 2-1 and it was good.
We had a 0.5u play on PSG -1 vs Man Utd so not the end of the world losing that one. Actually I’ve never been happier to lose a bet. It’s what I love about football. You don’t really give a toss about the result before kickoff – then during the game one team wins you over. I went from casually watching it in the background to standing up pacing around full of nerves for the last 20 minutes.
Great stuff. Man Utd were a whopping 19.00 to qualify so I hope some of you got on that.
Thursday, March 7th sees the first legs in the UEFA Europa League take place in the round of 16.
A lot of intriguing ties. UK wise we’ve got Chelsea versus Dynamo Kiev and Rennes vs Arsenal. Four of the games see heavy home favourites in Chelsea, Napoli, Valencia and Sevilla but the other games on the list are considered tight enough – at least in the first leg.
Let’s get to it:
Dinamo Zagreb vs Benfica Betting Tips:
Benfica are 2.45 favourites in this one.
Benfica are a casualty of the UEFA Champions League. They came third in their group and just couldn’t get the goals going against the superior opposition. It was always going to be a tough group with Bayern Munich and Ajax in it but at least they beat AEK Athens twice.
They responded well in the Europa League with a 2-1 victory over Galatasaray followed by a 0-0 draw at home as they did what was needed.
They’re on a great run domestically and just got that big 2-1 win over Porto.
Dinamo Zagreb are solid enough but they had their issues in the group stages and got lucky against Viktoria Plzen who they almost lost to.
I just think there is a gulf in quality here despite Zagrebs excellent home form domestically. Benfica are just too good for them in my opinion and much like the game in Turkey – will want to leave with some away goals in the bag.
(Odds on this page are correct as of 2019/03/06 5:02:19 PM EST but are subject to change)
Rennes vs Arsenal Betting Tips:
When you look at Arsenals past European games one thing stands out – both teams don’t score.
Other than the Vorskla Poltava game to open it Arsenal either keep a clean sheet, or in the case of the BATE Borisov first leg – fail to score.
I mean it is a glaring trend and an interesting one. I think Arsenal will play a similar tight game like they do away in Europe looking to wrap things up at home where they should play with confidence.
Rennes have decent enough goalscoring but come in struggling domstically.
The Arsenal BTTS trend is one I just can’t ignore.
(Odds on this page are correct as of 2019/03/06 5:02:19 PM EST but are subject to change)
