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Three NBA tips and five MLB tips tonight.
Today is the final day of the month so no need to sign-up for the Patreon until tomorrow. I am posting all of the tips I wrote on there for free today.
November will have the final games of the World Series, NBA, NHL Advanced Metrics, NFL, College Football, and tips for every game of the World Cup.
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Sacramento Kings at Charlotte Hornets Betting Tips:
The Kings are only 1-4, but they have had one of the hardest schedules thus far and have been in most of the games they’ve played. They finally got their first win two nights ago against the Heat and now get a favorable match-up against the Hornets.
Charlotte will be without Terry Rozier, Cody Martin, and LaMelo Ball here. That’s a seriously lack of playmaking out of the backcourt and it is going to cost them here. The Hornets defense has been giving up some big points thus far.
Kings -3
Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets Betting Tips:
The Nets are 1-5 and a ticking timebomb in a lot of ways. How long til Nash is fired? How long til Kevin Durant demands another trade? How long until Kyrie Irving says something else? It’s a real mess.
The Nets are dead last in Defensive Rating while the Pacers are 4th to last. These two played two nights ago in Brooklyn and the Pacers won 125-116.
I can see the Nets bouncing back and winning here, but what I’m really looking for is just a repeat of that type of score. These teams not only don’t care about defending, they can’t defend. Whoever wins will score 125.
Pacers/Nets Over 236
Detroit Pistons at Detroit Pistons Betting Tips:
The Pistons are playing the second half of a back-to-back and their third game in four days. They won last time out against the Warriors, but before that they had lost the last five games. They’ve lost all three road games they’ve played this season by an average of 18 points.
The Bucks seemed extremely locked in right now with Giannis on a mission and the defense as a whole, Brook Lopez especially, playing some really dominating defense.
This is more than I typically lay, but the talent disparity, even without Middleton, is just that extreme.
Bucks -13
- Exclusive betting tips. Not just the tips omitted from these posts, but Vin will also be posting EVERY MLB System play, college football, and NBA tips. Graeme does NFL, Golf, WNBA, Formula 1, and various non-EPL soccer tips.
- Ad-free experience.
- Priority e-mails; receive the e-mails as soon as the tips are posted rather than hours later.
- Feeling good about supporting two guys who have worked their butts off writing sports tips on here for free for over 10 years. We promise only to spend it on beer and wings at our local sports bars!
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Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips:
HOU – Lance McCullers Jr. 2.27 ERA/3.49 FIP
PHI – Noah Syndergaard 3.94 ERA/3.83 FIP
McCullers was hit hard by the Yankees with four runs allowed, three earned. While Syndergaard is not going deep, he does have an ERA that is nearly 4. Both of these games have gone easily over in the F5, much to my chagrin, and this looks like another game where that should happen.
The total is set a bit higher than in previous games, but the pitching match-up is favorable enough to the hitters that I think they should get it done.
0.5u on Astros/Phillies Over 4 Runs First 5 Innings
Syndergaard is scheduled to start here, but he’s looking at a max of three innings. That was the plan against the Padres as well, but he only ended up throwing 1.1 innings in that one. In his three appearances in the playoffs, he has only had more than one strikeout once. His fastball is a far cry from what it once was and strikeouts are not a big part of his game anymore. The Astros offense is dangerous and I don’t feel like they are going to be missing a ton of his pitches today.
0.5u on Noah Syndergaard Under 2.5 Strikeouts (+108)
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McCullers has six strikeouts against the Yankees and seven against the Mariners. The strikeouts have come easy for the Astros thus far in this series with the Phillies having 11 strikeouts in each of the two games.
0.5u on Lance McCullers Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+114)
One of these two is going to hit a double or a homerun. Tucker hit the two homeruns in game one then Alvarez hit a big double in game two. They are both lefties with a lot of power and it’s a favorable match-up. I’d love for both to hit, but even one hitting would be a profit at these prices.
0.5u on Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 Total Bases from hits (+129)
0.5u on Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases from hits (+106)
