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PDC 2013 World Championship Day Seven Premium Picks.
A strange night of darts last night, with a shocking start to the night, with Andy Jenkins doing no-one any favours in a terrible performance against a distinctly average Justin Pipe. It was a terrible match, and it got us off to a slow start, too. Then our fortunate changed, but the quality got worse. Still, we can’t complain too much about Dave Harrington’s shocker, as it helped Haruki Muramatsu win comfortably, which is what we wanted. And then it picked up, with Baxter and Priestley getting us over the 180s line, and it was a great match to. And to wrap our bets up, we got a long match from Darin Young and Colin Lloyd, which made sure we got our 180s bet in comfortably. Simon Whitlock finished off the night with a comfortable win over Muramatsu. So, not a great night in terms of action, but the bets went well.
The Premium Picks went 3-1 last night, taking them to 12-10 after four days of the PDC 2013 World Championship, with a profit of +10.5 units.
Before we get into the tips, I want to remind you of your last chance to take advantage of the great offer from Victor Chandler. Victor Chandler are refunding all bets placed on the outright market until the start of the second round if Phil Taylor wins the World Championship.
Mark Walsh (22) Vs Darren Webster.
We’re starting off the night with another match that doesn’t look great on paper. We’ve got one of the weaker seeds taking on one of the weaker unseeded players. That’s not to say it won’t be a great contest, though.
A solid if unspectacular year for Mark Walsh. He’s consistent on the floor, regularly reaching the Last 16, but very rarely progressing. In fact, outside of the Champions League Darts, where he won his group, Special Brew’s best result this year has been a quarter-final at the Dutch Masters, as well as two quarter-finals on the floor. But we know he’s not a bad player, it’s just how he handles the pressure of the stage and also facing a somewhat unknown quantity.
Darren Webster is making his first appearance in the PDC World Championship since 2007, where he reached the quarter-finals, and then promptly lost to Phil Taylor. So this is his first year at the Ally Pally, and it’s capping off a big year for him, where he qualified for three European Tour events, and reached the semi-final of one of the floor tournaments in Killarney in October, losing to Robert Thornton 6-3, after beating Vincent van der Voort and Dean Winstanley on the way. But he’s been incredibly inconsistent, reaching another two quarter-finals on the floor this year, but also struggling to get past the Last 64 on other occasions.
It’s a battle of inconsistency here. That being said, Walsh did win their only meeting this year back in September at the European Tour event in Stuttgart. Walsh won 6-1, which would be expected on rankings. That being said, Walsh is capable of throwing absolute junk on the stage, and if Webster can avoid the nerves, he might just give Walsh a battle. I’m not saying it’s a forgone conclusion, but I think Webster’s shown enough for this year that he can trouble a player as inconsistent as Walsh. There’s a tiny bit of value here on the outsider.
Darren Webster to beat Mark Walsh: 11/5 @
Recommend: 1 unit.
Qualifying Match
Paul Lim Vs Mohammed Latif Sapup.
I could give you some sort of background on this match, but in all honesty I know nothing about Sapup other than he’s qualified through the South Asian event, he’s ranked 117 in the world and he’s from Malaysia. Paul Lim, well, he’s been in the darting wilderness, but you’ll be hearing all about his 9-darter at the Lakeside. But he’s also the Soft Tip World Champion, which got him his invite here. His soft tip experience, coupled with his time on the stage should give him the advantage. That being said, I know nothing about Sapup, I can’t find anything out about him, and he might just have enough game to beat a man who’s been off our screens for quite some time.
Recommend: No bet.
Kim Huybrechts (27) Vs Scott Rand.
Belgium versus England, and it’s a match between two men whose careers have taken different paths over the past 24 months. One has sky-rocketed, while the other just hasn’t kicked on from early potential.
A dream year for Kim Huybrechts, culminating in his appearance in the final of the Players Championship, where he was beaten by Phil Taylor. He’s also reached 7 quarter-finals on the floor, 2 semi-finals and 1 final, as well as a semi-final at the Dutch Darts Masters. So, on the back of his breakout performance in getting to the quarter-finals in the 2012 World Championship, Huybrechts’ game has come on leaps and bounds. He’s still not the most prolific scorer, but his consistency on the doubles helps him where others tend to struggle.
Scott Rand, after his 3-0 win over Andy Smith last year just hasn’t brought his A-game to the ProTour. He’s made 2 quarter-finals, and 1 semi-final, and that’s it for the floor tournaments. He’s a consistent performer on the floor, getting to the Last 32 more often than not, but he is prone to the odd blip. That being said, there’s no denying he’s a handy player, and he can trouble some of the handier players on the tour.
This isn’t going to be a high-scoring classics, but it’s going to be a tight one. Huybrechts is a solid player, and Rand is capable of some handy darts, which could just cancel each other out. The form of both men over the last 12 months has been in sharp contrast, so I think Huybrechts should come through, but there’s no guarantee, and there’s no value around on the winner market. However, the highest checkout could be in danger, as both men will be looking for the big outs to break their opponent. And then you take into consideration that Huybrechts is a man of big finishes, and average scoring, so the line of 119.5 looks quite low to me.
Highest checkout over 119.5 in Huybrechts Vs Rand match: 5/6 @
Recommend: 3 units.
Vincent van der Voort (19) Vs Stuart Kellett.
After Winstanley Vs King, this is the match I was looking forward to the most. It’s a chance to see Stuart Kellett play on the big stage for the first time since his move to the PDC.
This has been a bit of a troubling year for Vincent van der Voort. He could put that down to his lactose intolerance which caused him all sorts of grief, and also caused him to fall down the rankings. One semi-final at the start of the year, and one quarter-final in September are the highlights of the Dutchman’s year. He’s obviously struggled with his health issues, and looking at his recent results, he’s not back to anywhere near 100% yet; since the World Grand Prix, VDV has been knocked out in the last 128 of floor tournaments 4 out of 6 times. The other 2 times, he was knocked out in the Last 32. So, needless to say, it’s not the kind of form he’s wanting to be in coming into a big match. That being said, he’s a class act on his day, so we shouldn’t be counting him out so easily.
This is the big one for Stuart Kellett in his debut year in the PDC, after qualifying through Q-School. He’s been overshadowed by Dean Winstanley and Ted Hankey, but he’s had a solid year, slowly creeping up the rankings, with some Last 16 finishes on the floor tournaments, and qualification for two European Tour Events. The main thing here is that he won the qualification tournament for the World Championship, winning 7 games to qualify. And he also beat John Bowles in the final, and after Bowles’ great performance against Jamie Caven, Kellett’s win looks even better, given that he won this match 5-1. He’s also a World Masters finalist back in 2010, losing to Martin Adams in the final, and heralding his arrival on the darts scene. However, his only run at the World Championship in the BDO came to an abrupt end at the hands of Jan Dekker in the Last 16, so his form in World Championships isn’t exactly stunning.
The thing that we have to keep in mind here is Vincent van der Voort’s health issues and current form. He’s not 100%, he’s struggling for form, and he looked like a beaten man at the Players Championship when he lost 6-3 to Kim Huybrecht. Kellett is the man in form out of the pair, and using John Bowles as a guide, you’d be silly not to be backing Kellett here against a man who doesn’t seem to be able to buy win.
Stuart Kellett to beat Vincent van der Voort: 5/4 @
Recommend: 2 units
Michael van Gerwen (7) Vs Lim/Sapup
As always, I can’t tip anything up, as we won’t know what the match will be until later today. That being said, I can’t see either man troubling the most dangerous player in the PDC at the moment, so we can call it an early night tonight.
Recommend: No bet.
That’s it for the seventh night of the PDC 2013 World Championship. Thank you for subscribing, old subscribers and new, and here’s to a fantastic World Championship. Remember, this is your last chance get your outright winners bets on with Victor Chanderl’s great promotion – (Winstanley and Kellet for me) at
Remember, if Phil Taylor wins it, and you back someone else, you get a refund of your bet up to the value of £50. What are you waiting for? I’ve already hit them up, you should, too.
