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PDC 2013 World Championship Day Twelve Premium Picks.
Well, we’ve got seven matches left, and 8 darts players remaining. Yesterday was another extremely frustrating day, and although we had a great start, it petered out towards the end. For that, I can only throw my hands up. We had the perfect start with Wes Newton and Mark Walsh never troubling the 180s line. Then we got a great run from Simon Whitlock and Dave Chisnall, but Whitlock couldn’t put in the 180s required. Then, to round off the afternoon’s bets, Vincent van der Voort outscored James Wade on the 180s, and got us a nice winner to end the afternoon. And then it happened. Gary Anderson couldn’t win 1 set, let alone 2. So we had a sore one there thanks to the Scotsman’s inability to hit doubles. And Kevin Painter blew his chances against Adrian Lewis to really stop us dead in our tracks.
Only two matches today in one session of darts. Simon Whitlock and Raymond van Barneveld face off in what promises to gbe an outstanding match.
The Premium Picks went 2-3 last time out, taking them to 21-25 after eleven days of the PDC 2013 World Championship, with a profit of -2.57 units.
Simon Whitlock (5) Vs Raymond van Barneveld (15).
Even though both men have only been in the PDC for a short period of time, they’ve had some cracking encounters, and this would be worthy of a World Championship Final, let alone a quarter-final.
Simon Whitlock had been cruising through the World Championship, until he met Dave Chisnall yesterday. But he showed great qualities in fighting hard to beat the man from St Helens. It was the grit and determination that characterised Whitlock’s game for some time. The one thing missing, still is his power scoring. Whitlock’s average was 91.07, which, for the Australian, is a bit weak. But there’s no denying he’s playing solid darts. But he only hit 4 maximums in his third round match, which went 7 sets and had 31 legs. However, he did get his big finishes, with a 152 being the pick of a good bunch.
Raymond van Barneveld is continuing his rampage through the field, and his 4-0 win over Gary Anderson was a result few would have seen coming. Barney did have double trouble, but he still managed to average 93.35, and that’s with a 29% on the doubling. There’s no denying that Anderson should have had a better result against Van Barneveld, but Barney did what he had to do, scored 4 maximums in 4 sets, but only managed a 52 highest checkout. It’s a puzzling performance from the Dutchman considering the result. But he only played 17 legs, and no doubt had the match went longer, some of the stats would be better. Plus, Barney has still only dropped 1 set in the tournament so far, so he’s played less darts than everyone apart from Phil Taylor.
This could be close, even though Barney’s result against Gary Anderson would normally suggest that he’s playing unbelievable darts. The truth is, Barney has around 5 points on Whitlock on the averages and 6 more on the 180s. But Barney has a highest checkout of 121, and Whitlock has one of 164, as well as his 152 and 130 last night. So the Aussie’s finishing is definitely solid, even if his scoring hasn’t been. There’s two markets I want to play – Player To Score Most 180s, and Highest Checkout
Raymond van Barneveld to score more 180s than Simon Whitlock: 4/6 @
Recommend: 4 units.
Highest checkout over 137.5 in Whitlock/Van Barneveld match: 4/6 @
Recommend: 3 units.
Phil Taylor (1) Vs Andy Hamilton (8)
Top seed against second lowest seed in the competition, but it’s also a match we’re seeing more of thanks to Andy Hamilton qualifying for the Premier League this year. This match is a great way to end the first set of quarter-finals.
So, what we know is that Phil Taylor isn’t playing his best darts. He also went out and beat Robert Thornton, one of the form men in the game, 4-0 in the third round. But Taylor put in a 97.18 average, hit a 131 checkout and never looked in danger against a man who’s beaten him twice on TV this year. It bumped his tournament average up to 93.78, the fifth highest of those left in. And his 2 180s brought his tournament total up to a massive 6. This is where Taylor’s game has been letting him down – the power scoring just isn’t happening. But he’s checking out well, and 55% against Thornton helped him through. The longer format obviously suits him, and he’s getting into the groove now, so he’s going to take some stopping.
Andy Hamilton’s been here before, and now he’s staring down the barrel of a gun named Phil Taylor. But Hamilton will be pleased with how he’s been playing, with his 99.47 average in his 4-1 win over Terry Jenkins being the obvious highlight. He’s also hit 16 maximums, and has a highest checkout of 138. Like Taylor, he’s finally starting to show some form after some early nerves. But what you have to remember is that Hamilton’s 4-1 win was somewhat fortuitious, as Jenkins had chances to make Hamilton pay, but he didn’t. Hamilton’s finishing of 52% is what got him through.
This is going to be a cracker, and both men are going to be going in confident. The obvious concern is going to be both men’s form at the start of the tournament, but then we saw that change in the third round. But Hamilton was extremely lucky to win 4-1 against Jenkins, with Jenkins only hitting 31% of his doubles, and I think he missed around 400 chances on double 20. There’s only one market that appeals to me as having any kind of value here – the Total 180s market. Taylor is averaging 2 a match. We saw with Simon Whitlock and Dave Chisnall that both men have to weigh in with the power scoring to get over the line. The line is 14.5, and I don’t think we’re going to see enough sets to get over it. I think Hamilton will get a couple of the board, but Taylor will surge past thanks to his consistency.
Under 14.5 180s in Phil Taylor Vs Andy Hamilton match: 5/6 @
Recommend: 2.5 units.
That’s it for the first two quarter-final matches of the PDC 2013 World Championship. Thank you for subscribing, old subscribers and new, and enjoy the darts!
