Follow @SBTSportBetting [Get Exclusive Tips on our Patreon, Ad-Free]
Welp – it happened again.
For the 4th time this year, we went into the final round with a strong contender. We had the 100/1 Matt Wallace who we needed to place at least in the top 5. He looked like he might even win at one point but at the very worst, we were guaranteed a top 5 finish for a nice price.
Then he hit back to back bogeys on the 2nd last holes and that was all she wrote.
Crushing one that.
What about the performance of Molinari? That was insane. I always look back at the people who placed and see if I could have predicted it. Something you should always do to learn going forward. That’s one that I just don’t think would have been worth the risk.
Despite his obvious ability and skills, it was a tough field, the complete equipment change, and played just twice in 2019 so far. At 35/1 that just wasn’t worth it in my opinion.
Congrats to all Molinari backers though – what a final round that was. One of those golf performances – like Rorys last year – where you just get caught up watching it and don’t care about the betting.
The way Molinari has won tournaments recently he seems to be a guy that loves a comeback and to perform on that final day. That’s something to consider during live betting .
Thanks to everyone for their feedback on unit sizing. I’m going to keep it the same way.
Let’s get on with this weeks tips:
Players Championship 2019 Betting Tips:
Will be interesting see how the course looks and plays with the change of date. It has been May for awhile – since around 2007 – and now it’s March again so will be interesting. Wind will be more of a factor.
For some reason, I couldn’t really get in the “zone” in regard to tipping this week. I struggled to really narrow down the field. I don’t want to skip a big tournament like this, but I’m going to be safe with small, casual bets this week. These are all 1/8u to win & E/W.
Jordan Spieth: 60/1. I told you I was taking this one casual! I figure I’d start off with this one so you know where my mind is this week. Spieth has only performed well once at this course and he’s on the worst run of his career. It reminds me of Kevin from The Office – whenever anyone gives you 10,000 to 1 odds you take it. They’re not exactly 10,000 to 1, but 60/1 on someone like Spieth? I’m fine throwing away a 1/8u here.
Lucas Glover: 66/1: Backed him twice recently and he got us the cash a couple of weeks ago. I think I said it last week but if this guy could just get the putting down he would be a beast. I’ll most likely blindly back him at 50/1 and above and don’t understand why he isn’t at a worse price.
Rafael Cabrera-Bello: 55/1: Two excellent performances here in years past and is in some excellent form at the moment. Considering his price he seems to be flying under the radar of the sportsbooks and I’m happy to back him here.
Hideki Matsuyama: 40/1. With it being overseeded, I think Matsuyama could perform here. This type of surface is where he generally excels. He suits this course well as it is, has no pressure on him and may pull it off.
Kenya Open 2019 Betting Tips:
1/8u to win & E/W on Ross McGowan 75/1 and Sabastian Sodeberg 40/1.
