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This week the only golf action going on is the Porsche European Open.
There’s also events on the Japan Golf Tour and Challenge Tour but at this time I don’t cover them. I’d like to eventually but it’s a bit difficult gathering all the data for them. Something I am looking into however as I’ve always felt golf betting is just a numbers game, and if I can get all the statistics I should be able to cover those.
Anyway the Porsche European Open. It’s being held at Green Eagle for the third year in a row. It was won last year by Richard McEvoy and the year before by Jordan Smith.
Xander Schauffele is the slight favourite at 6/1. Paul Casey at 13/2 and Patrick Reed at 8/1 are just behind him. Those three are a good bit favoured ahead of the rest of the field.
Nothing huge jumping out at me but I’m aching for some golf action after two weeks off so let’s get to it:
Porsche European Open 2019 Betting Tips:
One interesting thing about this course is how blatantly weather affects it. Just look at 2017 when it was wet, and 2018 when it was very dry and the driving distance stats and how that affected things. We’re looking at rain each day and I’m going to be factoring that into the bets with distance a factor.
Paul Casey to win at 13/2 odds. 1/2u. I get intrigued when you have a tournament where the odds factor in on 3-4 people as winners with a big gap and I always like to try and pick one of them to take it. Looking at the metrics, I think Casey is the man for that. He played here last year where he finished in 7th.
I’m tempted by Pieters too but hard to say how he is performing form wise and just not worth the risk. The rest will just be 1/4u to win & E/W plays that I feel are long shots but warrant a bet.
Lucas Herbert at 60/1. Only a 29th place here last year but I liked his performance last week and think he may just be coming into form. His game is suited for this course and if you remember his sensational performances last year we know he has the ability. I’m hoping to get in on him here while his odds are big.
Matthias Schwab at 25/1. Played here last year and came in 7th. Has some form going with great performances at the Omega European and the Czech Masters. If he can keep that run going he may surprise here.
Alexander Levy at 33/1. Levy is someone who often disappoints however he made it on my shortlist early on, and I couldn’t pull him off it. He has had two strong performances at this course which indicates he likes this course and will be motivated for it.
That’s all I’ve got this week. A bunch more names on the long list but none that even made the short list. I was hoping to get some high odds contenders but just didn’t feel good advising any.
