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MLB tips for September 27th, 2022.
2-0 last night.
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New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips:
NYY – Jameson Taillon 3.90 ERA/3.93 FIP
TOR – Jose Berrios 5.27 ERA/4.71 FIP
You know what we are getting with the offenses here, but I think this could be a high scoring affair based on the pitching match-up.
Taillon has a 4.42 ERA/4.75 FIP in his road starts this season and you couldn’t ask for a tougher match-up. The Yankees bullpen has struggled of late with a 113 wRC+ over the past two weeks.
The Jays pen has equally struggled with a 114 wRC+ over the past two weeks while Berrios has been so up-and-down in his starts. Against this Yankees team, I’m willing to bet on down.
Yankees/Jays Over 8 (-103)
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Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros Betting Tips:
ARI – Zach Davies 4.03 ERA/4.79 FIP
HOU – Lance McCullers Jr. 2.38 ERA/3.41 FIP
Davies over his last five starts has a 4.84 ERA/5.36 FIP. He had a decent run for a while there, but in the end he is who we thought he was. The Astros offense is just on another level at home with a 121 wRC+.
McCullers has been very good of late with a 2.81 ERA/2.92 FIP. Huge strikeouts and low homeruns are a combo that I like to see. The Diamondbacks offense is struggling down the stretch with a 88 wRC+ over the past month.
Astros -0.5 First 5 (-135)
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Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips:
OAK – James Kaprielian 4.43 ERA/4.94 FIP
LAA – Patrick Sandoval 3.01 ERA/3.18 FIP
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Betting Tips:
LAD – Tyler Anderson 2.52 ERA/3.40 FIP
SDP – Blake Snell 3.62 ERA/2.77 FIP
I think we got burned last time we went F5 under on Snell vs. the Dodgers, but since that start he has been lights out. Twenty strikeouts over his last two starts with only one run and two walks allowed. His two starts prior to that were excellent as well so I’m willing to go back to betting with him here. The Dodgers offense has just a 97 wRC+ over the pat two weeks and has been worse on the road this season.
Anderson has been good results of late with a 1.67 ERA/4.19 FIP. The Padres offense has some scary hitters, but they haven’t been that scary against lefties with a 104 wRC+ against them.
Dodgers/Padres Under 4 First 5 (-115)
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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Betting Tips:
COL – German Marquez 5.15 ERA/4.77 FIP
SFG – Logan Webb 2.93 ERA/3.10 FIP
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