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Hi guys,
Apologies for no tips for a couple of weeks. It was a mix of stuff. Everything to do with COVID put me off doing tips a bit I have to admit. I was hesitant to spend hours on the golf bets only for someone to pull out etc.
I was also up at the cottage over one tournament and the less time spent on the laptop the better. Then there was courses I wasn’t too familiar with etc – plus a lot of work on my plate when back from the cottage – and it was quite easy to take a pass on work!
Anyway back in business now and must admit I am quite pumped to dive into all the metrics and numbers and stats again. Especially coming off that 28/1 Webb Simpson win.
You’ll see some changes on the site over the next few days. Implementing a few different things. Also tracking all bets in a spreadsheet so everyone can see actual profits and not just the big wins I post on the site for complete transparency. May mean a paid membership area in the future – honestly not sure about that yet but if so it won’t be for a few months so no need to worry.
You’ll probably get a few articles in your inbox over the next few days with odds for the upcoming majors as a heads up.
This week I will cover The Memorial Tournament only.
Memorial 2020 Best Prop Bets:
The Memorial 2020 Betting Tips:
I can’t bring myself to back him at that price but man Justin Thomas on paper should take this tournament. Berger has potential here however I think his putting will be an issue. Also is he “rested” or “rusty” is the question. Woodland is the pick most people are making right now. I’m not convinced.
I went back and forth on Webb. His course form and lack of playing here recently was enough to pass on himeven though metrics wise, he should do well.
1/4u on Abraham Ancer at 45/1 to win & E/W. Ancer is performing extremely well and stands out on the numbers. He hasn’t performed well here in the past however made the cuts both times at least.
1/4u on Patrick Cantlay at 14/1 to win & E/W. If it wasn’t for his performance last week I’d skip this. At that price I still wonder if this is a good bet or not. It’s a hard task to defend the title however his past performances here have proven he can handle this course.
I felt it was between him and Dustin Johnson (who is also 14/1) and decided to go with Cantlay.
How To Place These Bets:
Those are my only two plays this week. There’s a lot of other possibilities out there like Matsuyama etc however I’d like to get watching from an analytic perspective again first.
If you are looking for an underdog pick I came close to Horschel. He is 80/1 and a very streaky golfer so his 7th place last weeks suggest he can do something here. In saying that it’s a very top-heavy field and last time he came Top 5 was the PGA Championship in September. Then you have to go back to 2018.