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This week in golf we’ve got the prestigious US Open, and it’s taking place at the very prestigious Pebble Beach.
The US Open was last held here in 2010. The Northern Irishman Graeme McDowell won that one.
Brooks Koepka will be going for an incredible three-peat having won the tournament the last two years – once at Shinnecock Hills and once at Erin Hills. We all know his Majors history and this would be an absolutely unbelievable accomplishment from Koepka.
It’s an interesting field with four big favourites.
We have the aforementioned Brooks Koepka of course who is 3rd favourite at +900 odds. Honestly this week I just don’t think Brooks is able to do it. If he does then major, major props to him – no pun intended. It’d be a seriously insane accomplishment but I just can’t see it.
The two top favourites are Rory McIlroy and Dustin Johnson both at +800. Both are fine bets but I’m not going with them.
Rory is incredible as he proved at the Canadian Open – the problem with him is it’s hard to really figure him out. There’s been a few tournaments this year where he should have won and just didn’t come close. He’s an incredible golfer but it’s hard to figure out what it takes for him to turn it on.
DJ is one of those bets where you almost feel obligated to bet it as it’s time for him to win again. The WGC Mexico feels so long ago ha. He’s also an incredible golfer but there’s nothing that really stands out enough for me here to back him.
Of the top 4, I’m backing Tiger Woods to win. I don’t have full confidence in Tiger – much like the other three – but I think his odds are okay all things considered even with the Tiger Effect. His history at Pebble Peach is insane and his recent Majors performances have been excellent.
The rest of my plays are will to win and each way. For Americans – that’s normally to win and Top 5. However Bet365 – which is where I am placing my bets – are doing top 8 so that’s factored in. Not sure what options you have but if you have Top 8 go with that, or Top 5 if you feel like the extra risk.
I’m taking Adam Scott. +3300 and while historically he doesn’t quite do it at Pebble Beach, everything required there is where he is excelling at these days.
I’m also on Jordan Spieth. Hard not to at his price and I’m liking him to keep his excellent form going at a course that he is good at.
All three of those I am wagering half a unit.
I’ve got quarter unit plays on Cantlay, Snedeker and Mickelson. . Cantlay is a tough one as the value really isn’t there but he checks every single box required. Snedeker is a US Open specialist and also performs well at Pebble. Mickelson? I mean you gotta bet him here right?
Finally a 1/8u play on Gary Woodland. Risky one at +8000 but I think he might just have what it takes here.
