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Hi all and welcome to this weeks golf tips.
Last week our only cash was the Thomas Detry Top 20 Finish at 19/10 odds in the Corales Championship.
That entire tournament was a Patreon Exclusive Post. We came very close to some big cashes with the 50/1 Graeme McDowell dominating early, and the 28/1 Nate Lashley going into the final day in the mix for winning it.
One quick thing I want to mention about Patreon. Not only does it help support us, but it encourages us to do more betting tips and work than normal.
My mum and 4 year old nephew are visiting from Scotland this weekend and will be here for a week. First time I am seeing them since 2019.
I’m super busy with work right now so I can take the week off to spend as much time with them as is humanly possible.
What that means is it would be very, very easy to skip the golf betting tips this week and next week. And yes – that includes the Masters.
The only reason I am doing betting tips this week – and will do tips for the Masters next week – is due to the amazing support people have shown us via our Patreon.
So anyway I just wanted to write that to thank everyone so much for supporting us via Patreon, and let you know what that support means.
Oh and on top of that – while we said we’d spend it all on beer and wings – there was an additional golf data resource that is geared more towards daily fantasy golf which I thought was a solid resource, but hadn’t been motivated to pony up the money for it. Thanks to your support I now subscribe to that, meaning even more data and hopefully even better betting tips!
If you aren’t supporting us yet – well you can do so here. But a quick heads-up; billing is on the 1st of the month, so if you wait until just after that you’ll get everything in April free.
Valero Texas Open Betting Tips
We had some success at this tournament last year. $125 on Spieth to finish in the Top 10 got a $206.25 profit, and $250 on Hoffman E/W at 30/1 got a nice $812.50 profit. Let’s hope that continues this week.
E/W (Each-Way) bets mean you split that amount. So if it is a $250 E/W bet, that means $125 on them to win, $125 on them to place (Usually in the Top 5)
Weather can really affect this course. The renewals have really changed the way this course works too so makes historical data not as important behind the last few years.
$100 on Chris Kirk Top 20 @ 13/8, $25 To Win & E/W @ 30/1
His price to win is too low for me for a big bet. I think he will contend here and might even get into the top 10 which he has twice in the last three years. But that is borderline. Prior to the cut at the Players he was playing extremely well and he wasn’t too bad there. And really the Players Championship should be void in terms of results.
He also obviously needs a heck of a good performance if he wants to hit up Augusta last week so he has the motivation. Maybe that will end up causing extra pressure on him? That sort of thing always concerns me so happy to go with a lower risk bet.
The more I looked into it though, I felt that if he played at the top of his game he could get the win. It’s razor thin but I’ve went with the small $25 bet on it just in case.
He seems like someone who a lot of people are on this week which usually never works out well ha.
$50 on Adam Hadwin E/W @ 40/1
A solid performance last year on this course, and for the metrics required for this course he really stands out. Just solid across them all and I think the Canadian can contend.
$50 on Richard Bland E/W @ 110/1
Bland hasn’t played on this tournament but he is solid value at this price.
You could do Top 10 or Top 20 if you wish but this one I like his chances enough to back him.
Coming in on solid form and his game really seems to suit this course. He wants to hit up Augusta and a win here would do that so he has that drive.
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