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We are 2-0 in the series thus far with two picks of the over. Both have come pretty easy which is nice.
The big surprise is that the Nationals are up 2-0. They went in to Houston, faced down two of the pitchers in the game and got big wins. They now return home with a chance to win their first ever championship at home.
The bigger win was saving Patrick Corbin from a relief appearance meaning he is good to go in game four. I am thinking that the Nationals would love to win this game tonight, but they are probably looking at game four and beyond when their big two starters will be ready.
Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros Betting Tips:
The Nationals are sending Anibal Sanchez to the mound tonight and he is a big part of the reason that I think that the Nationals are looking beyond this game. Sanchez had a 3.85 ERA/4.44 FIP and is not the kind of pitcher who inspires a ton of confidence. Considering the Nats only have two relievers they trust, this could be a long night for them.
Of course, the Astros are bringing the heat tonight with Zack Greinke on the mound who had a 2.93 ERA/3.22 FIP on the season. He had a rough start against Tampa in the first round, but has been solid since then. I am expecting a big game from him here.
That said, I am expecting some run scoring here and the total is once again too low for these two teams. I can see Greinke allowing three runs here and for the Astros offense, the sky is the limit. Sanchez is the kind of pitcher that they can really take advantage of and I think we are going to see the offense that we’ve come accustomed to today.
Bet Astros/Nationals Over 8 Runs
After two games of the Astros being a far bigger favorite than necessary, the line is actually far below what the Bet MLB System thinks it should be. The system says this game should be -198, but it’s only -135. That is a green light go and you need to bet on the Astros and the over tonight.
Bet Astros -135
